Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.190095 0.220047 0.253165 0.292500 0.337952 0.388834 0.450142
2025-08-31 0.141658 0.181430 0.229981 0.293618 0.374884 0.475273 0.608867
2025-09-07 0.116744 0.160400 0.217482 0.297607 0.407286 0.552363 0.759241
2025-09-14 0.096637 0.140601 0.201396 0.291638 0.422366 0.605202 0.881053
2025-09-21 0.082800 0.126596 0.190167 0.289211 0.439906 0.661097 1.011535
2025-09-28 0.073326 0.117197 0.183701 0.291903 0.463923 0.727565 1.163949
2025-10-05 0.068327 0.113726 0.185325 0.306521 0.507086 0.826855 1.377743
2025-10-12 0.063132 0.109096 0.184295 0.316338 0.543125 0.918159 1.588649
2025-10-19 0.058290 0.104328 0.182275 0.323921 0.575805 1.006830 1.804619
2025-10-26 0.053347 0.098695 0.177993 0.326833 0.600327 1.083663 2.008024
2025-11-02 0.048071 0.091770 0.170561 0.323060 0.612124 1.138834 2.177902
2025-11-09 0.042551 0.083698 0.160087 0.312324 0.609568 1.167198 2.300306
2025-11-16 0.039845 0.080759 0.158969 0.319470 0.642290 1.265833 2.571012
2025-11-23 0.036701 0.076589 0.155037 0.320689 0.663636 1.345149 2.813471
2025-11-30 0.034252 0.073507 0.152849 0.325045 0.691571 1.440083 3.098121
2025-12-07 0.030998 0.068342 0.145838 0.318526 0.696062 1.487600 3.288468
2025-12-14 0.028463 0.064413 0.140937 0.315874 0.708348 1.552395 3.523064
2025-12-21 0.026663 0.061885 0.138733 0.318815 0.733092 1.646259 3.832477
2025-12-28 0.026040 0.061944 0.142179 0.334782 0.788792 1.813804 4.328386
2026-01-04 0.025045 0.061019 0.143304 0.345505 0.833567 1.961412 4.794664
2026-01-11 0.023945 0.059712 0.143399 0.353788 0.873461 2.101887 5.259910
2026-01-18 0.022598 0.057644 0.141478 0.356969 0.901347 2.216919 5.675987
2026-01-25 0.020927 0.054574 0.136816 0.352848 0.910694 2.288184 5.990516